000
WTPZ22 KNHC 210841
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172026
0900 UTC MON SEP 21 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 103.8W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW  20NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 103.8W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 104.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.5N 103.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 15.3N 102.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.3N 102.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.9N 102.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.6N 103.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 17.5N 104.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 18.7N 106.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 19.8N 109.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 103.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 21/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI