000
WTPZ32 KNHC 292031
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Vance Advisory Number  34
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222026
200 PM MST Thu Oct 29 2026
 
...VANCE WEAKENS WHILE CONTINUING NORTHWARD NEARING THE GULF OF 
CALIFORNIA...
...MOISTURE FROM VANCE WILL SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM MST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.3N 108.6W
ABOUT 230 MI...365 KM NW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM ESE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests along the west-central and northwestern coasts of Mexico
and the southern Baja California Peninsula should monitor the
progress of Vance.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM MST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Vance
was located near latitude 22.3 North, longitude 108.6 West. The
depression is moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h), this 
motion is expected to continue until Vance dissipates tonight or 
early Friday.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with 
higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Vance is expected to become 
a post-tropical remnant low this evening.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Through tonight, Vance is expected to produce 2 to 4
inches of rain across central and southern Sinaloa, far southwestern
Durango, and far northwestern Nayarit, with isolated higher totals
over 5 inches possible across central and southern Sinaloa. This
rainfall may produce flooding and mudslides, especially in areas
along steep terrain.
 
Moisture carried northeastward from Vance combined with other
Pacific moisture will begin to produce heavy rainfall across the
U.S. Southern Plains and New Mexico today into Friday.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Vance,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Vance will affect coastal portions of
southwestern and west-central Mexico, as well as the southern
portion of the Baja California Peninsula, during the next day or
so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM MST.
 
$$
Forecaster Pierce/Papin