281 
WTPZ21 KNHC 280242
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112026
0300 UTC FRI AUG 28 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 112.7W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......180NE  50SE   0SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 112.7W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 112.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 12.9N 114.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...190NE  80SE  30SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 14.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...210NE 110SE  40SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 15.7N 117.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...210NE 110SE  40SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.0N 118.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...180NE 110SE  60SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.8N 120.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  60SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 18.3N 122.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  70SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 18.8N 125.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 20.2N 127.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 112.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PIERCE/ZELINSKY