802 
WTPZ21 KNHC 010834
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112026
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 127.9W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  35SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 127.9W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 127.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.5N 129.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.9N 131.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 19.3N 133.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.6N 135.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.9N 136.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.2N 138.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.8N 142.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 110NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 22.4N 145.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 127.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH