431 
WTNT21 KNHC 250846
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062026
0900 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  42.8W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  20SE  20SW  60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE   0SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  42.8W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  42.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 29.7N  43.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 29.7N  44.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 29.5N  45.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 29.3N  45.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 29.0N  45.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 28.5N  46.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 27.6N  46.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N  42.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY