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Remnants of Priscilla Forecast Discussion


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807 
WTPZ44 KNHC 210234
TCDEP4

Remnants Of Priscilla Discussion Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP192019
1000 PM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

The rugged terrain of Mexico has taken a toll on Priscilla.  Surface
observations indicate that the system no longer has a closed
surface circulation, and therefore this is the last advisory
issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system.

Even though the surface circulation has dissipated, there is
still a fair amount of deep convection associated with the
remnant trough over portions of southwestern and west-central
Mexico.  Since the surface trough is expected to linger for another
couple of days over southwestern Mexico, there remains a significant
threat of heavy rains and flash flooding over that region.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  21/0300Z 20.0N 104.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...REMNANTS
 12H  21/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi