000
FONT13 KNHC 051455
PWSAT3
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4          
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032025               
1500 UTC SAT JUL 05 2025                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
DANVILLE VA    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
ROCKY MT NC    34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   3( 3)   6( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
CHERRY PT NC   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
NEW RIVER NC   34  3   6( 9)   2(11)   4(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  3   7(10)   3(13)   4(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
SURF CITY NC   34  7  12(19)   5(24)   4(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  1   7( 8)   4(12)   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
BALD HEAD ISL  34 14  26(40)   5(45)   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
BALD HEAD ISL  50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
FLORENCE SC    34  X   9( 9)   4(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
LITTLE RIVER   34 15  36(51)   6(57)   1(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
LITTLE RIVER   50  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34 19  42(61)   5(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   7( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
MYRTLE BEACH   64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
GEORGETOWN SC  34  6  28(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34 30  29(59)   1(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
CHARLESTON SC  50  X   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
BEAUFORT MCAS  34 17  10(27)   1(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
KINGS BAY GA   34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MAYPORT NS FL  34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI