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Tropical Depression Beta Wind Speed Probabilities


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FONT12 KNHC 222042
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL222020               
2100 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

JACKSON MS     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

BATON ROUGE LA 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ALEXANDRIA LA  34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

LAFAYETTE LA   34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NEW IBERIA LA  34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

FORT POLK LA   34  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

LAKE CHARLES   34  X   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

CAMERON LA     34  X   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

JASPER TX      34  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

KOUNTZE TX     34  X   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

GALVESTON TX   34  3   5( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

HOUSTON TX     34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

FREEPORT TX    34  5   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34  2   6( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

MATAGORDA TX   34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART