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WTUS82 KRAH 100918
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NCZ028-042-043-077-078-083>086-088-089-101730-

Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 15
National Weather Service Raleigh NC  AL142018
518 AM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

This product covers central North Carolina

**HURRICANE MICHAEL WILL MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NC AS A
 TROPICAL STORM THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT**
|

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Anson and Richmond

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Anson, Cumberland, 
      Edgecombe, Harnett, Hoke, Johnston, Richmond, Sampson, 
      Scotland, Wayne, and Wilson

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 690 miles southwest of Raleigh NC or about 660 miles 
      southwest of Greensboro NC
    - 28.3N 86.5W
    - Storm Intensity 140 mph
    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 13 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Michael is expected to make landfall onto the Florida 
Panhandle or Big Bend region by this afternoon, then accelerate to the 
northeast progressing through central NC Thursday afternoon and 
Thursday night. Storm total rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches with 
locally higher amounts can be expected. This rainfall could result in 
flash flooding, particularly in low-lying and poor drainage areas, 
followed by minor to moderate river flooding across main stem rivers 
that will linger through early next week. 

In addition, strong winds of 30 to 40 mph can also be expected. Winds
of this magnitude combined with saturated soils will result in
scattered downed trees and power-lines.

Finally, there is the potential for an isolated and short-lived
tornado Thursday afternoon into the early evening. 

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant 
impacts across central North Carolina. Potential impacts include:
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter 
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially 
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, and ditches 
      overflow.
    - Rainfall flooding may prompt some evacuations and rescues.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations. 
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid 
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage 
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as 
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions 
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across 
central North Carolina. Potential impacts include:
    - Some trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in 
      places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway 
      signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from downed trees and debris, 
      particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous 
      driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across the
Sandhills and the Southern Coastal Plain. Potential impacts include:
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power 
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys 
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, 
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees 
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats 
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across central North Carolina, little to no impact is 
anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies 
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your 
home or business.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, in a low-
lying or poor drainage area, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that 
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of 
others.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news 
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes 
to the forecast.

There is a threat from tornadoes with this storm. Have multiple ways 
to receive Tornado Warnings. Be ready to shelter quickly.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see readync.org
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather 
Service in Raleigh NC around 1130 AM, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$