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Marine Weather Discussion



460 
AGXX40 KNHC 241735
MIMATS

Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
135 PM EDT Sat Aug 24 2019

Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

...GULF OF MEXICO...

Weak high pressure of 1015 mb centered near 28N87W will be
replaced by a high pressure that will lift northward from Cuba
to the SE Gulf by the middle part of next week. The related
gradient will maintain moderate to fresh south to southeast over
the waters west of 90W and mainly light to gentle winds continue
east of 90W during the period. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

Fresh to strong trade winds over the south-central Caribbean
will gradually increase in areal coverage through Mon. Fresh to
strong east to southeast winds will pulse over the Gulf of
Honduras at night Mon through Wed. Newly formed Tropical
Depression Five near 10.4N 47.9W 1010 mb at 11 AM EDT is moving
W at 10 kt. Maximum sustained winds 30 kt gusts 35 kt. The
depression will move to near 10.7N 49.4W this evening,
strengthen to a tropical storm near 11.0N 51.4W Sun morning with
maximum sustained winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt, reach to near 11.4N
53.5W Sun evening, and continue to gradually intensify as it
reaches to near 12.0N 55.5W Mon morning with maximum sustained
winds 45 kt gusts to 55 kt, to near 13.6N 59.3W Tue morning. It
is forecast to intensify to a minimal hurricane as it moves into
the eastern Caribbean Sea near 15.2N 63.1W early Wed with
maximum sustained winds 65 kt gusts to 80 kt. 

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

A weak area of low pressure over S Florida will track north-
northeastward over the Florida peninsula today and tonight to 
offshore the east-central coast of Florida Sun. This system will 
continue to bring scattered to numerous showers and 
thunderstorms, some with strong gusty winds and rough seas, over 
the waters west of 72W the next few days. Environmental 
conditions are expected to become conducive for tropical cyclone 
development of this system once it moves back over the Atlantic 
waters. Otherwise, gentle to moderate southeasterly winds will 
continue across the area under a relatively weak pressure 
pattern. 

$$

.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     None.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ037...TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 15N BETWEEN 55W AND
65W...
     Tropical Storm Warning Sun night into Mon. 

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     None.

$$

*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

$$

.Forecaster Aguirre. National Hurricane Center.