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Marine Weather Discussion



000
AGXX40 KNHC 180700
MIMATS

Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
300 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019

Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

...GULF OF MEXICO...

Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen near 24.1N 93.2W 1004 mb at
0600 UTC moving NE at 10 kt. Maximum sustained winds 35 kt gusts
45 kt. PTC Sixteen will continue moving NE overnight, reaching 
near 26.0N 91.1W Fri morning as a Tropical Storm, then gradually
expand in size and strengthen prior to making landfall in the 
western Florida Panhandle near 30.2N 86.1W Sat morning. Marine 
conditions will improve rapidly across the basin Sat night and 
Sun as the cyclone accelerates off to the NE into the W Atlc. A
cold front will reach the NW Gulf Mon night, and extend across 
the basin from northern Florida to NE Mexico on Tue night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

Moderate to fresh trade winds are expected across the basin
through the weekend, with fresh SE winds likely near the Yucatan
Channel through Sat as Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen moves 
NE across the Gulf of Mexico. A tropical wave moving across the 
Lesser Antilles this morning will be accompanied by very active 
weather as it moves W across the eastern Caribbean through Sat.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

A weakening cold front extending from 31N66W to central Florida 
will move eastward into the central Atlantic through tonight. 
Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen in the SW Gulf of Mexico will 
move NE across the SE U.S. this weekend, and produce strong to 
near gale force southerly winds ahead of it across NW Atlc waters
tonight through Sun night. Weak high pressure will prevail over 
the area Mon and Tue. A cold front will move off the coast of
northern Florida Tue night.

$$

.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
.GMZ013...N CENTRAL GULF INCLUDING FLOWER GARDEN BANKS MARINE
SANCTUARY...
     Tropical Storm Warning today into tonight. 
.GMZ015...NE GULF N OF 25N E OF 87W...
     Tropical Storm Warning tonight.
.GMZ019...CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 87W AND 94W...
     Tropical Storm Warning today. 

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     None.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     None.

$$

*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

$$

.Forecaster Mundell. National Hurricane Center.