ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Western Atlantic (AL95):
Showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with a 
non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east 
of the North Carolina coast.  While satellite wind data show that 
the low is now producing gale-force winds, the system remains 
attached to a frontal boundary.  However, environmental conditions 
are conducive for this system to acquire additional tropical 
characteristics, and a tropical storm is likely to form by Monday 
well east of the North Carolina coast.  For additional information, 
including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by 
the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

2. Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa by 
late Monday.  Thereafter, some gradual development of the wave is 
possible, and a tropical depression could form late this week while 
it moves generally west-northwestward across the central tropical 
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

3. Off the Southeastern United States:
An area of low pressure could form in a couple of days a few hundred 
miles southeast of the Carolinas.  Some gradual development of this 
system is possible by midweek as the system drifts to the 
northwest. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.




High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php


Forecaster Blake