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Post-Tropical Cyclone JULIETTE


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Post-Tropical Cyclone Juliette Discussion Number  15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP102025
200 AM PDT Thu Aug 28 2025
 
Juliette has been devoid of deep convection for several hours, with 
only a swirl of low-level clouds evident on satellite imagery. 
Persistent southwesterly shear, cooler waters, and a dry, stable 
environment have taken their toll on the system. A 0522 UTC ASCAT-B 
pass showed peak winds near 30 kt, although it did not sample the 
northeastern quadrant. Based on these data and the lack of 
convection, Juliette is now considered a post-tropical remnant low 
and the initial intensity is set at 30 kt. Given the hostile 
environment, redevelopment is not expected, and this will be the 
final NHC advisory on the system.

The remnant low is moving northward, or 350/7 kt, into a weakness in 
the subtropical ridge. The forecast track is nearly identical to the 
previous advisory and lies close to the consensus aids. Most of the 
guidance indicates the remnant low will gradually bend leftward as 
it becomes steered primarily by the low-level flow.

Global models also suggest that residual mid- to upper-level 
moisture associated with Juliette will continue lifting 
northeastward over portions of northwestern Mexico and the 
southwestern United States, potentially increasing rainfall chances.

For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas 
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header 
NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at 
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  28/0900Z 25.4N 120.8W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  28/1800Z 26.2N 121.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  29/0600Z 26.9N 121.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  29/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Gibbs (CPHC)
 
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