ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM ERICK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052025               
0900 UTC WED JUN 18 2025                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERICK WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
L CARDENAS     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  15(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
L CARDENAS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
L CARDENAS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
ZIHUATANEJO    34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  23(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
ZIHUATANEJO    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
ZIHUATANEJO    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
15N 100W       34  X   2( 2)  11(13)   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
ACAPULCO       34  X   2( 2)  45(47)  18(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
ACAPULCO       50  X   X( X)  10(10)  18(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
ACAPULCO       64  X   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
P MALDONADO    34  X  13(13)  78(91)   1(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
P MALDONADO    50  X   1( 1)  57(58)   4(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
P MALDONADO    64  X   X( X)  35(35)   3(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 
P ANGEL        34  1  63(64)   5(69)   1(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)
P ANGEL        50  X  13(13)   4(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
P ANGEL        64  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
HUATULCO       34  X  26(26)   4(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
HUATULCO       50  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
HUATULCO       64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
15N 95W        34  4   6(10)   1(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER GIBBS/BLAKE                                              
      
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