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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042025
0300 UTC FRI JUN 13 2025
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 100.6W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 100.6W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 100.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 12.9N 100.9W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 14.1N 102.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.2N 103.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.2N 105.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.0N 107.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.4N 109.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 17.5N 113.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 100.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 13/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
 
 
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