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Tropical Depression Barry Discussion Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022025
1000 PM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025

Satellite and radar imagery show that Barry became less defined 
over the past several hours, and this has made the center 
difficult to locate.  It is estimated that the system made 
landfall an hour or two ago, to the south of Tampico Mexico.  Deep 
convection associated with the cyclone has diminished since earlier 
today.  Strong westerly shear has apparently caused the system to 
weaken to a depression by the time it reached the coast.  The 
current intensity estimate is set to 30 kt, which is in agreement 
with a Dvorak T-number from TAFB. 

Barry's initial motion estimate is still northwestward, or 320/8 
kt, while being steered by the flow to the west of a high pressure 
system over the central Gulf. This general motion is likely to 
continue for the next 12-24 hours, taking the system farther 
inland.  Barry should dissipate over the mountainous terrain of 
Mexico on Monday.
 
The primary impact with Barry remains heavy rainfall and flash
flooding for the upslope areas of eastern Mexico. Please see the
latest forecast rainfall graphic from the Weather Prediction Center
International Desk for more information.
 
Key Message:
 
1. Barry or its remnants will produce heavy rainfall across 
portions of northeastern Mexico through Monday. Life-threatening 
flooding and mudslides are possible, particularly in areas of steep 
terrain.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  30/0300Z 22.0N  97.8W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
 12H  30/1200Z 22.7N  98.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 24H  01/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch
 
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