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TROPICAL STORM NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172023
0900 UTC WED OCT 18 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 107.9W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE  30SE  30SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 107.9W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 107.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.0N 108.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.2N 108.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 17.9N 108.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.9N 109.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.0N 109.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 22.1N 110.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 22.9N 109.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 107.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI
 
 
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