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TROPICAL STORM JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112023
1500 UTC TUE SEP 05 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 107.4W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 107.4W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 107.1W
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.4N 108.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 14.1N 110.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.1N 112.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.2N 115.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.5N 117.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 110SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.7N 120.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 110SW 130NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 21.3N 124.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 23.6N 129.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 107.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER KELLY/BLAKE
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