ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192023
0300 UTC THU OCT 12 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  36.2W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  36.2W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N  35.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 12.4N  37.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 13.1N  39.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 14.0N  40.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.0N  42.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.1N  43.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.2N  44.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 18.5N  46.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N  36.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
NNNN