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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023
0300 UTC WED OCT 04 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 65.5W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 30SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 65.5W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 65.2W
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.2N 65.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.8N 66.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 24.9N 66.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 27.8N 66.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 30.7N 66.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 0SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 33.9N 65.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 40SW 180NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 40.5N 66.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 49.0N 69.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 65.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
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FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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