ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL STORM IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102023
2100 UTC SUN AUG 27 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  85.5W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  85.5W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  85.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 20.5N  85.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 21.7N  85.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 23.4N  84.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 25.6N  84.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 140SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 28.7N  83.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 150SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 31.3N  81.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 34.5N  76.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 35.0N  71.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N  85.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 28/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
NNNN