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HURRICANE RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172021
0300 UTC SUN OCT 24 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TECPAN DE GALEANA TO PUNTA SAN TELMO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF TECPAN DE GALEANA TO ACAPULCO
* WEST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO MANZANILLO
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 102.0W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 102.0W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 101.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.9N 102.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.8N 102.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.0N 102.5W...NEAR COAST
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 19.3N 103.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...  0NE  70SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 20.8N 104.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 102.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 24/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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