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TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112021
1500 UTC WED AUG 11 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 116.8W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 120SE 150SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 390SE 240SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 116.8W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 116.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 22.0N 118.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  50SE 100SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 23.2N 120.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 24.4N 122.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 25.6N 124.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 27.0N 126.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 28.3N 128.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 116.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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