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Tropical Depression Hilda Discussion Number 27
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082021
200 AM PDT Fri Aug 06 2021
Hilda has been reduced to a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds
overnight with no organized deep convection. There has not been any
recent scatterometer data to aid determining Hilda's intensity, but
a blend of recent subjective and objective Dvorak intensity
estimates support keeping the initial intensity at 30 kt. If Hilda
fails to redevelop organized deep convection soon, an unlikely
prospect since sea-surface temperatures under the depression are now
around 22 C, the cyclone should soon become a remnant low, possibly
as early as later this morning. Complete dissipation of the remnant
low is expected by this weekend, well east of the Hawaiian Islands.
The tropical depression is currently moving west-northwest at
300/10 kt. This heading is expected to continue until dissipation
as the system moves along the southern periphery of a low-level
ridge to its north. The latest NHC track forecast is largely an
update from the previous one, though is a bit slower, following the
tightly clustered track guidance.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 06/0900Z 22.6N 133.3W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 06/1800Z 23.0N 134.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 07/0600Z 23.6N 136.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 07/1800Z 24.1N 137.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Papin/Beven
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