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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Enrique Intermediate Advisory Number 16A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052021
1200 AM MDT Tue Jun 29 2021
 
...ENRIQUE WEAKENING IT MOVES TOWARD THE BAJA PENINSULA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1200 AM MDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.3N 107.4W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Cabo San Lucas to Los Barriles
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1200 AM MDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Enrique was
located near latitude 21.3 North, longitude 107.4 West. Enrique is
moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h) and this general 
motion is expected continue for the next couple of days.  On the 
forecast track, the center of Enrique is expected to move near 
or over portions of the southern Baja California Peninsula tonight 
or Wednesday.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is forecast over the next
couple of days.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.38 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Enrique can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO header WTPZ45
KNHC, and on the web at
www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area
over of the Baja California Peninsula beginning tonight.
 
RAINFALL: Through Tuesday, the eastern outer bands of Enrique are
expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 6 to 12 inches with
isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches over Colima and coastal
sections of Jalisco in western Mexico. These amounts may produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides.
 
As Enrique approaches the Baja Peninsula, total rainfall amounts of
2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches are possible
through Thursday morning.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern
coast of Mexico during the next day or two. These swells will
spread northwestward along portions of the coast of the southern
Baja California Peninsula and the coast of the southern part of the
Gulf of California during the next couple of days. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch
 
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