ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052021
2100 UTC SUN JUN 27 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FROM PLAYA 
PERULA TO CABO CORRIENTES. 
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PLAYA PERULA TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO PLAYA PERULA MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA SAN TELMO TO PUNTA MITA MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA MITA TO SAN BLAS MEXICO

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 
TO 24 HOURS. 

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 105.7W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 300SE 180SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 105.7W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 105.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.8N 106.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.5N 106.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.1N 107.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.8N 107.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.6N 108.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 23.6N 109.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 25.5N 112.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 105.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 28/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LATTO/BROWN
 
 
NNNN