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TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142021
1500 UTC TUE SEP 14 2021
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FORT POLK LA 34 3 5( 8) 3(11) X(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
LAKE CHARLES 34 7 7(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
LAKE CHARLES 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAMERON LA 34 8 6(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
CAMERON LA 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
JASPER TX 34 9 4(13) 2(15) X(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16)
JASPER TX 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KOUNTZE TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
KOUNTZE TX 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GALVESTON TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GALVESTON TX 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HOUSTON TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HOUSTON TX 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FREEPORT TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FREEPORT TX 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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