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HURRICANE IDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092021
0300 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS
...105 MPH...165 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ST MARKS FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
APALACHICOLA 34 4 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 4 4( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 4 6(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 2 5( 7) 3(10) X(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
WHITING FLD FL 34 4 10(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
PENSACOLA FL 34 5 13(18) 3(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 60 2(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
GFMX 290N 870W 50 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MOBILE AL 34 9 44(53) 2(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55)
MOBILE AL 50 2 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GULFPORT MS 34 36 48(84) 2(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
GULFPORT MS 50 3 27(30) 2(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
GULFPORT MS 64 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
STENNIS MS 34 44 49(93) 2(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
STENNIS MS 50 3 56(59) 3(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
STENNIS MS 64 X 16(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
BURAS LA 34 97 3(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BURAS LA 50 51 44(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
BURAS LA 64 7 56(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFMX 280N 890W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFMX 280N 890W 64 96 X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
JACKSON MS 34 3 33(36) 18(54) 4(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59)
JACKSON MS 50 X 5( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 55 44(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50 5 85(90) 3(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X 65(65) 4(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 72 10(82) X(82) X(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83)
GFMX 280N 910W 50 8 8(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
GFMX 280N 910W 64 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 8 85(93) 4(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
BATON ROUGE LA 50 2 64(66) 13(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
BATON ROUGE LA 64 X 32(32) 13(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 26 70(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
MORGAN CITY LA 50 4 71(75) 3(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
MORGAN CITY LA 64 X 40(40) 4(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 3 39(42) 16(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
ALEXANDRIA LA 50 X 7( 7) 7(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
ALEXANDRIA LA 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 4 74(78) 5(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
LAFAYETTE LA 50 1 27(28) 7(35) X(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36)
LAFAYETTE LA 64 X 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 5 78(83) 4(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
NEW IBERIA LA 50 2 33(35) 5(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
NEW IBERIA LA 64 X 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 4 8(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 X 8( 8) 4(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
FORT POLK LA 34 3 20(23) 9(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
FORT POLK LA 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LAKE CHARLES 34 3 23(26) 6(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
LAKE CHARLES 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CAMERON LA 34 4 20(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
CAMERON LA 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
JASPER TX 34 3 8(11) 4(15) X(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16)
KOUNTZE TX 34 3 6( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 3 7(10) 4(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15)
GALVESTON TX 34 3 5( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
HOUSTON TX 34 1 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
FREEPORT TX 34 1 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 2 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 3 6( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
MATAGORDA TX 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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