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TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062021
0900 UTC MON AUG 16 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* COAST OF FLORIDA FROM INDIAN PASS TO YANKEETOWN
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM NAVARRE TO THE WAKULLA/
JEFFERSON COUNTY LINE
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.  PERSONS
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.  PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  86.0W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  86.0W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  86.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 29.1N  86.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 31.0N  85.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 33.1N  85.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 35.6N  84.2W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N  86.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 16/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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