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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032021
2100 UTC FRI JUN 18 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF MORGAN CITY...LOUISIANA TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE
FLORIDA.
* LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 6-12 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  91.2W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  91.2W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  91.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 29.5N  90.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 31.4N  89.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 32.8N  87.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 33.8N  84.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 34.7N  81.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N  91.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 19/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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