ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM NORBERT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192020
0900 UTC TUE OCT 06 2020
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORBERT WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 105W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
15N 105W 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) 9(20) 11(31) 4(35) 1(36)
15N 105W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
10N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
15N 110W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 9(14) 12(26) 8(34)
15N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9)
15N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
15N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
$$
FORECASTER REINHART/STEWART
NNNN