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TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172020
1500 UTC WED SEP 23 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 120.6W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 120.6W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 120.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.4N 122.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 20.8N 123.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 21.0N 125.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.1N 127.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 21.2N 130.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 21.1N 132.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 21.0N 137.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 21.2N 141.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 120.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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