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HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122020
0900 UTC THU AUG 20 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LOS BARRILES TO TODOS
SANTOS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF
TODOS SANTOS TO CABO SAN LAZARO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LOS BARRILES
TO LA PAZ
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT
12 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING
ALONG THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...ESPECIALLY
OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36
HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 110.4W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 110.4W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 110.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 23.3N 111.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 24.4N 112.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 25.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 26.7N 116.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 27.9N 118.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 28.8N 120.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 30.4N 121.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N 110.4W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 20/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
 
 
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