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HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122020
1500 UTC TUE AUG 18 2020

CORRECTED FORWARD SPEED

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LOS BARRILES TO TODOS
SANTOS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LOS BARRILES
TO LA PAZ
* THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM TODOS SANTOS
TO SANTA FE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 108.0W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 270SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 108.0W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 107.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 19.0N 109.3W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 20.2N 110.4W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 21.3N 111.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 22.2N 112.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 23.2N 113.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 24.1N 115.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 26.3N 118.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 28.7N 121.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 108.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 18/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
 
 
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