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HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122020
1500 UTC MON AUG 17 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF GENEVIEVE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 103.0W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......110NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 103.0W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 102.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 15.4N 105.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 17.0N 107.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.4N 109.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 19.7N 110.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 21.0N 111.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 22.2N 112.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 24.3N 115.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 26.4N 118.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 103.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LATTO
 
 
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