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HURRICANE DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP082020
2100 UTC FRI JUL 24 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII AND
FOR MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING MAUI...LANAI...MOLOKAI AND KAHOOLAWE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNING IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING MAUI...LANAI...MOLOKAI AND KAHOOLAWE
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 143.5W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  967 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......100NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 143.5W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 142.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.9N 145.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.1N 149.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  50SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 20.0N 151.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 20.8N 154.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 21.3N 157.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  10SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 21.8N 160.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 23.0N 166.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 24.2N 172.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 143.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 25/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD
 
 
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