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HURRICANE DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082020
0300 UTC THU JUL 23 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
DOUGLAS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 132.6W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  90SE  30SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 132.6W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 131.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.4N 134.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.6N 137.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.9N 140.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.1N 143.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.2N 146.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 19.2N 149.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 20.3N 155.5W...NEAR HAWAII
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 21.0N 162.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 132.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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