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TROPICAL STORM ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
0300 UTC SUN NOV 08 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO THE BREVARD/VOLUSIA COUNTY
LINE AND FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF BONITA BEACH
TO ENGLEWOOD.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF ENGLEWOOD TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORIDA COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH TO BONITA BEACH...INCLUDING
BISCAYNE BAY
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING
FLORIDA BAY
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORIDA COAST FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO BONITA BEACH
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING
FLORIDA BAY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI
SPIRITUS...VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS...AND MATANZAS
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS
ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA
ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE
* FLORIDA COAST FROM BREVARD/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO ENGLEWOOD... 
INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...ARTEMISA...MAYABEQUE...PINAR
DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH
* FLORIDA COAST FROM NORTH OF ENGLEWOOD TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND.
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AS ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM
WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR SOME OF THESE AREAS
ON SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  79.9W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 100SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  79.9W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  80.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 22.1N  79.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 23.8N  79.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...270NE 120SE  60SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.9N  81.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...210NE 120SE  60SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.0N  83.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.0N  84.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 25.5N  84.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 26.0N  84.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 27.0N  84.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N  79.9W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 08/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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