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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
2100 UTC FRI NOV 06 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...VILLA
CLARA...CIENFUEGOS...AND MATANZAS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CAYMAN ISLANDS
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI
SPIRITUS...VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS...AND MATANZAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...ARTEMISA Y MAYABEQUE...PINAR
DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
THE GOVERNMENTS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS CONTINUE TO ISSUE WARNINGS
FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING IN THOSE COUNTRIES...AND INTERESTS IN
THOSE AREAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE DEPRESSION.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA...THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...THE FLORIDA
KEYS AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM AS TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCHES COULD BE REQUIRED FOR
SOME OF THESE AREAS TONIGHT OR ON SATURDAY.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  86.5W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  86.5W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  87.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.2N  84.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.4N  82.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.8N  80.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.5N  80.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 24.2N  80.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.9N  81.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 25.0N  84.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 26.5N  85.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N  86.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 07/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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