ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
0300 UTC FRI NOV 06 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CAYMAN ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
THE GOVERNMENTS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS CONTINUE TO ISSUE WARNINGS
ON HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING IN THOSE COUNTRIES...AND INTERESTS IN
THOSE AREAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE DEPRESSION.
 
INTERESTS IN CUBA...THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...FLORIDA KEYS AND
SOUTHERN FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AS
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES COULD BE REQUIRED FOR SOME OF THESE AREAS ON
FRIDAY.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  87.8W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  87.8W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  87.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.5N  87.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.8N  85.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.7N  83.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.8N  81.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 22.6N  79.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.2N  80.4W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 25.0N  83.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 25.5N  85.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  87.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 06/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
NNNN