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HURRICANE ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
0300 UTC WED NOV 04 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER TO
SANDY BAY SIRPI
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA TO THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER
* THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM SOUTH OF SANDY BAY SIRPI TO LAGUNA
DE PERLAS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  84.0W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  84.0W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  83.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 13.9N  84.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.4N  86.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.3N  88.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.0N  89.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.9N  88.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.9N  86.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 21.1N  82.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 24.3N  80.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N  84.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 04/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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