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HURRICANE ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
0300 UTC TUE NOV 03 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER TO
SANDY BAY SIRPI
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA TO THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA TO THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA PATUCA WESTWARD
TO PUNTA CASTILLA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS OR SO.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  82.7W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  927 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......110NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  75SE  40SW  80NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  82.7W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  82.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 13.9N  83.3W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 13.9N  84.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 13.9N  85.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.3N  86.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 14.8N  87.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.4N  88.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 16.8N  87.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 17.9N  85.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N  82.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 03/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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