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HURRICANE ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
2100 UTC MON NOV 02 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER TO
SANDY BAY SIRPI
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA TO THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA TO THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA PATUCA WESTWARD
TO PUNTA CASTILLA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS OR SO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE 
COMPLETE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  82.3W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......110NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  82.3W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N  82.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.1N  83.1W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.0N  83.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.0N  84.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.2N  85.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 14.7N  86.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.5N  88.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 16.7N  88.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 18.0N  86.0W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N  82.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 03/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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