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TROPICAL STORM ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
0900 UTC SUN NOV 01 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA TO THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER.
* THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA
BORDER TO PUERTO CABEZAS
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS WILL
LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE COUNTRIES LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  75.7W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  75.7W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  75.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.3N  77.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  20SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.3N  79.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.1N  81.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.7N  82.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  50SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.4N  83.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  60SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.2N  83.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 14.3N  85.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 15.0N  87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N  75.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 01/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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