ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE SALLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192020
0300 UTC WED SEP 16 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED EAST OF THE
OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE TO THE WALTON/BAY COUNTY LINE FLORIDA.
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED EAST OF NAVARRE FLORIDA TO
THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA.
 
THE STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED BETWEEN THE MOUTH OF
THE PEARL RIVER AND THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE WALTON/BAY COUNTY LINE FLORIDA
* MOBILE BAY
* MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF BAY ST. LOUIS MISSISSIPPI TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY
LINE FLORIDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO INDIAN PASS
FLORIDA
* BAY ST. LOUIS MISSISSIPPI WESTWARD TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER 
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT 
HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.  PERSONS 
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO 
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR 
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER 
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  87.8W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  20SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE  80SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE  90SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  87.8W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  88.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.3N  87.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  20SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 31.2N  86.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 32.0N  85.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 32.9N  83.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 33.6N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 34.0N  79.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N  87.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 16/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
NNNN