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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192020
0300 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
FROM THE OCHLOCKNEE RIVER TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH OF JUPITER INLET TO NORTH OF OCEAN REEF
* OCHLOCKNEE RIVER TO OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEHWERE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCHES
COULD BE ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THAT AREA ON SATURDAY.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  79.8W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  79.8W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.6N  79.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 26.0N  81.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 26.8N  82.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 27.9N  84.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 28.8N  85.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 29.3N  86.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 29.7N  87.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 30.2N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 31.3N  90.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N  79.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 12/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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