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Hurricane Paulette Intermediate Advisory Number 25A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020
200 AM AST Sun Sep 13 2020
...PAULETTE MOVING TOWARD BERMUDA...
...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON BERMUDA BY
SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Tropical-storm-force winds that
make outside preparations difficult or dangerous are expected to
reach Bermuda Sunday afternoon or evening. Preparations to protect
life and property should be rushed to completion.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Paulette was
located near latitude 29.3 North, longitude 60.4 West. Paulette is
moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A motion
toward the west-northwest or northwest is expected through tonight.
A turn toward the north with a decrease in forward speed is forecast
on Monday, followed by a northeastward motion Monday night and
Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Paulette will move
near or over Bermuda Monday morning.
Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast, and Paulette is expected
to be a dangerous hurricane when it approaches Bermuda late tonight
and early Monday. Some further strengthening is possible when
Paulette turns northeastward and moves away from Bermuda late Monday
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195
miles (315 km).
The minimum central pressure is estimated to be 981 mb (28.97
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Key messages for Paulette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC,
and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach Bermuda by Sunday
night or early Monday. Winds are expected to first reach tropical
storm strength this afternoon or evening, making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding on Bermuda in areas of onshore winds.
Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and
RAIN: Paulette will likely bring periods of heavy rain to Bermuda
today through Monday, with rainfall of 3 to 6 inches likely.
SURF: Swells generated by Paulette are affecting portions of the
Leeward Islands, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, Bermuda, and the
east coast of the United States. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.