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BULLETIN
Hurricane Paulette Advisory Number  27
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL172020
1100 AM AST Sun Sep 13 2020
 
...PAULETTE HEADING NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD BERMUDA...
...STRONG WINDS...STORM SURGE...AND HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED TO BEGIN
THERE BY THIS EVENING...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.9N 61.9W
ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda
 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Tropical-storm-force winds that
make outside preparations difficult or dangerous are expected to
reach Bermuda this afternoon or evening. Preparations to protect
life and property should be rushed to completion.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Paulette was 
located near latitude 29.9 North, longitude 61.9 West.  Paulette is 
moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general 
motion is expected through tonight.  A turn toward the north with a 
decrease in forward speed is forecast on Monday, followed by a 
faster northeastward motion Monday night and Tuesday.  On the 
forecast track, the center of Paulette will move near or over 
Bermuda Monday morning.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher 
gusts.  Strengthening is forecast, and Paulette is expected to be a 
dangerous hurricane when it approaches Bermuda late tonight and 
early Monday.  Some further strengthening is possible when Paulette 
turns northeastward and moves away from Bermuda late Monday through 
Tuesday.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles
(315 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Paulette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC,
and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.
 
WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected to reach Bermuda by tonight
or early Monday.  Winds are expected to first reach tropical storm
strength this afternoon or evening, making outside preparations
difficult or dangerous.  Preparations to protect life and property
should be rushed to completion.
 
STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding on Bermuda in areas of onshore winds.
Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.
 
RAIN:  Paulette will bring periods of heavy rain to Bermuda through
Monday, with rainfall of 3 to 6 inches expected.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Paulette are affecting portions of the
Leeward Islands, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, Bermuda, and the
east coast of the United States. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Latto
 
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