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TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172020
1500 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR
BERMUDA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  57.2W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......180NE  80SE  60SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 150SE 270SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  57.2W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N  56.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 28.5N  59.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE  80SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 29.5N  61.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 30.8N  63.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 32.4N  64.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 34.2N  64.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 35.8N  61.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 140SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 39.0N  54.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 42.0N  47.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N  57.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 12/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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