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TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172020
1500 UTC FRI SEP 11 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PAULETTE.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  52.2W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE  70SE  60SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 120SE 300SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  52.2W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  51.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 24.6N  53.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  70SE  60SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 26.1N  55.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE  70SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 27.6N  57.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 28.9N  59.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 30.2N  62.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 31.6N  64.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 34.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 37.0N  58.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N  52.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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