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TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172020
1500 UTC WED SEP 09 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  46.5W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT.......210NE  90SE  60SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE  60SE 105SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  46.5W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  46.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 20.3N  48.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...190NE  70SE  40SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.7N  49.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE  40SE   0SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 20.9N  51.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  40SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 21.3N  53.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  30SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 22.2N  54.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  30SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 23.5N  55.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE  40SE   0SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 27.0N  59.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 30.0N  62.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N  46.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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